Fundamentals of Probability and Distributions

Revision sheet excerpt

📋 Course Outline

  1. Probability Foundations
  2. Sample Space and Events
  3. Conditional Probability
  4. Independence
  5. Random Variables
  6. Discrete Distributions
  7. Continuous Distributions
  8. Expectation and Variance
  9. Central Limit Theorem
  10. Distribution Applications

📖 1. Probability Foundations

🔑 Key Concepts & Definitions

  • Probability (P): A numerical measure between 0 and 1 that quantifies the likelihood of an event occurring; 0 indicates impossibility, 1 indicates certainty.

  • Experiment: A procedure or process that results in one outcome from a set of possible outcomes, used to observe random phenomena.

  • Sample Space (S): The complete set of all possible outcomes of an experiment; denoted as S.

  • Event: A subset of the sample space, representing one or more outcomes; can be simple (single outcome) or compound (multiple outcomes).

  • Conditional Probability (P(A|B)): The probability that event A occurs given that event B has already occurred, calculated as ( P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} ).

  • Independence: Two events A and B are independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other, i.e., ( P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B) ).

📝 Essential Points

  • Probabilities are assigned based on the ratio of favorable outcomes to total outcomes in equally likely scenarios.
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Quiz preview

1. What is a probability distribution?

2. What is the primary purpose of defining a sample space in probability theory?

3. What is the sample space in probability?

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Probability — definition?

A measure of likelihood between 0 and 1.

Probability — definition?

Likelihood of an event occurring, between 0 and 1.

Sample Space — role?

Contains all possible outcomes of an experiment.

Sample space — role?

Contains all possible outcomes of an experiment.

Conditional Probability — mechanism?

Updates likelihood of an event given another has occurred.

Conditional probability — meaning?

Probability of A given B has occurred.

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